Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.554519 0.612666 0.675362 0.748161 0.830575 0.921221 1.028799
2025-09-28 0.443571 0.520134 0.608823 0.719835 0.856024 1.018876 1.230185
2025-10-05 0.398583 0.486714 0.593965 0.735495 0.919447 1.153361 1.478041
2025-10-12 0.365117 0.460396 0.581001 0.747123 0.973574 1.276787 1.722694
2025-10-19 0.336777 0.436206 0.566301 0.752161 1.016165 1.386041 1.958799
2025-10-26 0.313273 0.415355 0.552854 0.755754 1.054802 1.491392 2.200497
2025-11-02 0.294760 0.399158 0.543534 0.763012 1.097779 1.605821 2.469440
2025-11-09 0.271762 0.374522 0.519789 0.746211 1.101773 1.659616 2.646257
2025-11-16 0.258429 0.362495 0.512916 0.753427 1.142611 1.774705 2.940425
2025-11-23 0.243214 0.346446 0.498594 0.747402 1.160893 1.853690 3.180955
2025-11-30 0.232191 0.335778 0.491405 0.751643 1.195828 1.963804 3.493534
2025-12-07 0.218752 0.320465 0.475815 0.740658 1.203350 2.025762 3.721761
2025-12-14 0.206887 0.307033 0.462539 0.732871 1.216465 2.100773 3.991268
2025-12-21 0.191857 0.287740 0.438646 0.705210 1.191476 2.101915 4.108101
2025-12-28 0.186751 0.283946 0.439635 0.720489 1.246244 2.262131 4.594055
2026-01-04 0.181272 0.279156 0.438550 0.731833 1.294484 2.414956 5.090926
2026-01-11 0.175040 0.272717 0.434186 0.736748 1.330551 2.546919 5.563051
2026-01-18 0.169025 0.266266 0.429333 0.740253 1.363963 2.677078 6.055415
2026-01-25 0.164014 0.261215 0.426551 0.747332 1.405163 2.829184 6.634339
2026-02-01 0.155675 0.249987 0.412144 0.730944 1.395811 2.866217 6.912875
2026-02-08 0.151435 0.245665 0.409850 0.737983 1.436865 3.024733 7.561685
2026-02-15 0.145593 0.238211 0.401401 0.732105 1.449169 3.116400 8.037392
2026-02-22 0.141518 0.233687 0.398065 0.736243 1.484000 3.267411 8.725345